Service Plays Saturday 09/12/09

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

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[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Maddux

#306 - NCAA - 3 units on Connecticut +4
#327 - NCAA - 3 units on South Carolina +7
#330 - NCAA - 4 units on Tennessee -9
#364 - NCAA - 4 units on Southern Miss -14.5

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Northcoast Sports's Pick Pack

Premium Plays
Matchup: Notre Dame at Michigan
Time: 3:30 PM EDT (Sat)

Play: Notre Dame (-3.5 -110)
Line Source: BETED
Posted on: September 10, 2009 @ 2:29:17 PM EDT

Notre Dame Over MICHIGAN - The home team is 8-2 SU and the L/3 have been decided by 27 ppg. UM had 6 TO’s and trailed 21-0 just 4:00 in LY and despite losing 35-17 they had a 388-260 yd edge. In Rod’s 2nd year at WV his team went from 21.4 ppg to 30.5 ppg and with a mobile QB like Forcier (PS#16) should be potent. They beat ND 38-0 the last time here and also won 38-0 in ‘03 which is the only 2 times the favorite has covered recently (dog is 11-2 ATS) with 6 outright upsets the L9Y. ND is 2-7 ATS in their first road game. Both started the season with thrashings of solid foes as the Irish dominated Nevada leading 28-0 at the half in a 35-0 win (510-307 yd edge). Clausen hit 15-18 for 315 yd with 4 TD passes including 3 to Floyd (189 yds). The D pitched the 1st shutout in the Weis era in Tenuta’s debut as the D play caller. UM took a rough week out on WM leading 31-0 at the half while outgaining the Broncos 289-79. Forcier threw for 179 yd and 3 TD while fellow true frosh Robinson had 74 yds rushing including a 43 yd TD run. ND has the edges on both sides of the ball (#4-21 off, #11-24 D) but this should go to the wire.

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Matchup: Louisiana Tech at Navy
Time: 3:30 PM EDT (Sat)

Play: Louisiana Tech (+8 -110)
Line Source: HILTON
Posted on: September 10, 2009 @ 2:29:17 PM EDT

Louisiana Tech (+) over NAVY - First meeting. Navy has only faced one current WAC member and dropped a 48-41 (-3) decision to Hawaii in ‘99 in Honolulu. The Midshipmen are just 1-7-1 ATS (4-6 SU) in their first “true” (in Annapolis) HG. However, Navy is an outstanding 37-8 SU and 26-13 ATS vs non-BCS tms S/’03 incl a mark of 20-4 SU (9-8 ATS) in gms played in Annapolis. LY Navy went 6-1 SU and 4-2 ATS vs non-BCS tms. LT played its first contest vs a service academy LY losing 14-7 (+2’) at Army gaining only 152 yds and 9 FD’s. The Bulldogs are just 2-15 SU and 3-14 ATS in non-conf AG but Tech is 6-1 SU and 4-0 ATS vs non-conf, non-BCS tms S/‘05. The two are nearly even on off (Navy #86-87), def (Navy #89-90) and ST (LT #71-84). The Bulldogs are coming off a 37-13 loss to Auburn where they were outgained 556-245 and outFD’d 27-19. Navy gave Ohio St a scare before falling 31-27 after scoring a pair of TD’s in less than four minutes but the potential game-tying 2pt conversion was returned the other way. The Midshipmen were only outgained 363-342 and FD’s were even at 19 apiece. LA Tech only has FCS Nicholls St on deck while Navy travels to Pittsburgh next. LA Tech now has the scheduling edge with Navy in a BCS sandwich and disregard LT’s performance LW vs a motivated SEC squad.

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Matchup: Rice at Texas Tech
Time: 7:00 PM EDT (Sat)

Play: Texas Tech (-26.5 -110)
Line Source: CAESARS
Posted on: September 10, 2009 @ 2:29:17 PM EDT

TEXAS TECH Over Rice - Rice fell at home 59-24 (+28) to TT in their last meeting in ‘07. These schools played every yr from 1960-‘95 (SWC) and the HT had won 7 in a row SU prior to ‘07. Mike Leach has a big ego and will note that Rice passed for 327 ypg in ‘08 and he’ll be anxious to show that his attack is better. Rice does not have QB Clement or WR Dilliard and also lost their OC. While both teams have a young QB, TT always does well no matter who is at QB and Rice’s production LY with a veteran senior QB was 126 ypg better than when Clement was a 1st year starter. The L4Y Rice has lost to Texas and TT by 41.4 ppg. The Owls were hoping to rely on an experienced D as they broke in new QB’s, but they allowed 516 yds to UAB in a 44-24 loss LW. QB’s Shepherd and Fanuzzi split snaps and neither distinguished himself as they combined to complete 22-42 (52%) for 235 yds with a 1-1 ratio. Tech is off a 38-13 win over FCS North Dakota as new starting QB Potts completed 32-47 (68%) for 420 yds but only had a 2-3 ratio. Tech has a huge game vs Texas on deck, but Rice is just 1-9 ATS vs BCS teams the L4Y. Rice has inexperienced QB’s and a young O-line and that will be a problem in a very tough and loud stadium, so we expect the Red Raiders to cruise to an easy home win.

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Matchup: Miss. State at Auburn
Time: 7:00 PM EDT (Sat)

Play: Auburn (-14 -110)
Line Source: ATLANTIS
Posted on: September 10, 2009 @ 2:29:17 PM EDT

AUBURN Over Mississippi St - Last year Auburn had a 315-116 yard edge but only won 3-2. Both are coming off of losing years and in ‘07 Miss St beat Auburn here in Jordan-Hare 19-14 (+13). We liked the Bulldogs here in ‘07 but this year the situation favors Auburn. The fav is 12-5 ATS in the series and Auburn is 15-1 SU and 12-4 ATS in their SEC openers. Miss St has just 10 ret sts and 28 lett lost while Auburn has 15 ret sts. Aub turned in an impressive opener with two 100+ yd rushers (true frosh McCalebb 148, 6.7 and Ben Tate 117, 5.8) while QB Todd threw for 255 (65%) and a 2-0 ratio. MSU defeated Jackson St 45-7 outgaining the lower-tier IAA team 410-194 with QB’s Lee and Relf splitting snaps (comb 172 yds, 64%, 3-0 ratio). Both tms have new HC’s and much more dynamic offenses with MSU HC Mullen bringing in Florida’s off and Aub OC Malzahn bringing in Tulsa’s spread which could mean that TY’s meeting might be the opposite of LY’s defensive slugfest.



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Matchup: Bowling Green at Missouri
Time: 7:00 PM EDT (Sat)

Play: Missouri (-18.5 -110)
Line Source: CAESARS
Posted on: September 10, 2009 @ 2:29:17 PM EDT

MISSOURI over Bowling Green - Missouri is 10-2 in home openers (win by 25 ppg). Pinkel has many MAC ties as he was a KSU grad, BG WR’s cch and Toledo’s HC (‘91-‘00). BG has beaten Pinkel twice: 20-13 in his 1st home game here in ‘01 and 51-28 at home in ‘02 (last meeting). Both teams are young as the Tigers are the least exp team in IA and BG has just 10 starters back and a new HC and are making their first road trip. The Falcons upset Troy 31-14 but that was inflated by a late 64 yd IR TD as they only had a 389-305 yd edge. BG QB Sheehan has avg 280 ypg (62%) in 4 games visiting BCS teams, including guiding 2 outright upsets and threw for 339 (73%) with a 2-1 ratio LW. The Tigers are off a 37-9 win (+6’) over Illinois in which they had a 442-325 yd edge and were +2 TO. Missouri QB Blaine Gabbert threw for 319 yds (76%) with a 3-0 ratio in his first start. Missouri has an FCS team on deck and will be focused here.

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Matchup: So. Cal at Ohio State
Time: 8:00 PM EDT (Sat)

Play: So. Cal (-6.5 -110)
Line Source: ATLANTIS
Posted on: September 10, 2009 @ 2:29:17 PM EDT

Usc Over OHIO ST - 2008’s matchup between these programs was much closer than the final as OSU had the 1H yd edge but had TWO TD’s called back on pen, missed a chip shot FG and played without star RB Wells, plus phenom QB Pryor was just getting acclimated to the system. OSU is 47-1 at home vs non-conf (only loss vs #2 Tex ‘05) but may have been looking ahead somewhat vs Navy LW as they had to hold on for the 4 pt win (363-342 yd edge). OSU is 12-5 ATS in non-conf BCS gms and 9-3 SU/ATS vs the P10 but will be in unfamiliar territory as a HD here (1-2 ATS over L10Y incl loss to PSU LY). USC is 11-1 SU/ATS in their 1st RG and 8-0 ATS as a single digit fav over the L3Y, but does have true frosh QB Barkley making his first road start (233 yds, 79% LW). The Trojan D was suffocating as they recorded 16 tfl and held the Spartans to just 8 FD’s and 121 ttl yds. While both teams have just 12 ret sts and some major draft losses, the well wasn’t left dry for either program as they appear loaded again with this meeting playing a major role in the early BCS picture.



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Matchup: Utah at San Jose St
Time: 10:30 PM EDT (Sat)

Play: San Jose St (+14 -110)
Line Source: ATLANTIS
Posted on: September 10, 2009 @ 2:29:17 PM EDT

SAN JOSE ST (+13) over Utah - Utah leads the series 4-1 SU (1-0 ATS) with the last meeting a 49-17 Utes win (-7) in ‘98. Utah currently owns the nation’s longest win streak (15) and finished last year #2 in the polls. The Utes are 5-0 SU/ATS on the road vs non-BCS/non-conf tms but all were vs Utah St. Utah is 9-0 SU and 7-2 ATS on the road and is on a current 6-0 SU (4-2 ATS) run in AG’s. The Utes spent all but Wk 1 in the polls LY and entered TY ranked in a preseason poll for just the second time ever and the first S/’04. Utah opened the season last Thurs with a 35-17 win over Utah St, as they broke in a new starting QB. Utah has an edge on off (#67-95), def (#39-73) and ST (#57-99). SJSt was held to just 121 ttl yds (8 FD’s) in their opening 56-3 loss at USC. SJSt is 1-13 SU but 8-6 ATS against ranked tms S/’00. In the L/4 gms vs ranked tms at home the Spartans are 0-4 SU but 3-1 ATS having lost two contests in OT and one on a last-second FG. SJSt is 7-0 SU (2-0 ATS) in home openers S/’03 but 5 gms were vs FCS opponents. Utah’s QB Cain now makes his first road start and you have to believe that HC Tomey looked past a “sure loss” to USC to focus on a winnable home opener against a ranked foe.

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Matchup: Oregon St at UNLV
Time: 11:00 PM EDT (Sat)

Play: UNLV (+7.5 -110)
Line Source: STATIONS
Posted on: September 10, 2009 @ 2:29:17 PM EDT

UNLV (+) over Oregon St - This is the perfect time of year for UNLV to play OSU. HC Riley has done a tremendous job with the Beavers but opp coaches have noted that they are slow starters as Riley has gone 0-9 SU and 1-8 ATS on the road in the first 4 weeks of the ssn with their avg ATS loss by 15.8 ppg! They have just 10 starters back and this is their 1st road trip and true test. The Rodgers brothers combined for 4 TD’s in their win vs Port St LW, however, it was somewhat alarming for the def as they allowed 349 yds to Vikings. QB Canfield (158 yds, 73% in just 1H) will line up behind center again TW and could be playing for his starting spot with LY’s #1 QB Moevao close to returning from spg shldr surgery. The Rebels won their 4th consec home opener LW vs Sac St 38-3 as they outgained the Hornets 466-228. HC Sanford is just 12-36 SU but is 8-2 ATS as an HD and LY beat #15 Ariz St on the road! UNLV has 14 ret sts incl vet QB Clayton (213 yds, 76% LW) and an excellent set of WR’s which could continue the early Beaver slide here as the Rebels look to knock off a BCS team at home for the 2nd consec ssn (34-31 OT win vs Iowa St LY).

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Member Plays
Matchup: Iowa at Iowa State
Time: 12:00 PM EDT (Sat)

Play: Iowa (-6.5 -110)
Line Source: ATLANTIS
Posted on: September 10, 2009 @ 2:29:17 PM EDT

Iowa over IOWA ST - The home team has won 5 in a row but ISU is 7-4 SU (dog in 9) and are 10-1 ATS. LY Iowa got an 81 yd PR TD with 6:19 left to lead 17-3 (-13’) but took an intentional safety with :28 left to give the Cyclones the cover. ISU beat FCS ND St 34-17 on Thursday night in HC Rhoads’ debut to end a 10 gm losing streak. ISU rec’d a fmbl in the EZ in the 1Q and led just 24-17 in the 3Q before pulling away despite being outrushed by the Bison 210-204. Iowa blocked 2 gm winning FG att’s to survive the FCS’s #4 team, N Iowa 17-16 as they were outgained 354-329 and trailed most of the game. QB Stanzi threw for 242 yds and the RB tandem of O’Meara and Robinson had just 79 yds. Iowa has a huge D edge (#14-96) and starts a new ISU losing streak.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

The Boss

500% Untouchable Play BYU

300% 3 Team Steam Roll Parlay (Boise, BYU, Kansas)

200% Dog Pound! Michigan

100% Silent Assassins (Air Force, Navy, Virginia Tech)

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

DUNKEL

SATURDAY, SEPTEMBER 12

Game 305-306: North Carolina at Connecticut
Dunkel Ratings: North Carolina 95.818; Connecticut 94.763
Dunkel Line: North Carolina by 1; 42
Vegas Line: North Carolina by 4 1/2; 46
Dunkel Pick: Connecticut (+4 1/2); Under

Game 307-308: East Carolina at West Virginia
Dunkel Ratings: East Carolina 86.001; West Virginia 94.098
Dunkel Line: West Virginia by 8; 53
Vegas Line: West Virginia by 6; 44 1/2
Dunkel Pick: West Virginia (-6); Over

Game 309-310: Syracuse at Penn State
Dunkel Ratings: Syracuse 79.631; Penn State 106.030
Dunkel Line: Penn State by 26 1/2; 48
Vegas Line: Penn State by 28; 54
Dunkel Pick: Syracuse (+28); Under

Game 311-312: Marshall at Virginia Tech
Dunkel Ratings: Marshall 76.005; Virginia Tech 98.106
Dunkel Line: Virginia Tech by 22; 46
Vegas Line: Virginia Tech by 19; 41
Dunkel Pick: Virginia Tech (-19); Over

Game 313-314: Central Michigan at Michigan State
Dunkel Ratings: Central Michigan 79.752; Michigan State 96.820
Dunkel Line: Michigan State by 17; 49
Vegas Line: Michigan State by 14 1/2; 54
Dunkel Pick: Michigan State (-14 1/2); Under

Game 315-316: Eastern Michigan at Northwestern
Dunkel Ratings: Eastern Michigan 68.831; Northwestern 93.784
Dunkel Line: Northwestern by 25; 60
Vegas Line: Northwestern by 19; 56
Dunkel Pick: Northwestern (-19); Over

Game 317-318: Iowa at Iowa State
Dunkel Ratings: Iowa 92.147; Iowa State 86.193
Dunkel Line: Iowa by 6; 48
Vegas Line: Iowa by 6 1/2; 46
Dunkel Pick: Iowa State (+6 1/2); Over

Game 319-320: Mississippi State at Auburn
Dunkel Ratings: Mississippi State 82.121; Auburn 96.612
Dunkel Line: Auburn by 14 1/2; 47
Vegas Line: Auburn by 14; 41
Dunkel Pick: Auburn (-14); Over

Game 321-322: Duke at Army
Dunkel Ratings: Duke 77.739; Army 78.346
Dunkel Line: Army by 1; 38
Vegas Line: Army by 2; 43 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Duke (+2); Under

Game 323-324: Fresno State at Wisconsin
Dunkel Ratings: Fresno State 79.531; Wisconsin 95.370
Dunkel Line: Wisconsin by 16; 47
Vegas Line: Wisconsin by 8 1/2; 53
Dunkel Pick: Wisconsin (-8 1/2); Under

Game 325-326: Stanford at Wake Forest
Dunkel Ratings: Stanford 92.442; Wake Forest 91.861
Dunkel Line: Stanford by 1; 50
Vegas Line: Wake Forest by 3; 46
Dunkel Pick: Stanford (+3); Over

Game 327-328: South Carolina at Georgia
Dunkel Ratings: South Carolina 95.809; Georgia 100.927
Dunkel Line: Georgia by 5; 34
Vegas Line: Georgia by 7; 39
Dunkel Pick: South Carolina (+7); Under

Game 329-330: UCLA at Tennessee
Dunkel Ratings: UCLA 86.054; Tennessee 100.818
Dunkel Line: Tennessee by 15; 52
Vegas Line: Tennessee by 8 1/2; 46 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Tennessee (-8 1/2); Over

Game 331-332: BYU at Tulane
Dunkel Ratings: BYU 96.715; Tulane 73.789
Dunkel Line: BYU by 23; 58
Vegas Line: BYU by 17; 54
Dunkel Pick: BYU (-17); Over

Game 333-334: Purdue at Oregon
Dunkel Ratings: Purdue 90.602; Oregon 103.935
Dunkel Line: Oregon by 13 1/2; 64
Vegas Line: Oregon by 12; 59 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Oregon (-12); Over

Game 335-336: Texas at Wyoming
Dunkel Ratings: Texas 111.517; Wyoming 78.290
Dunkel Line: Texas by 33; 61
Vegas Line: Texas by 33 1/2; 56
Dunkel Pick: Wyoming (+33 1/2); Over

Game 337-338: Louisiana Tech at Navy
Dunkel Ratings: Louisiana Tech 81.244; Navy 87.433
Dunkel Line: Navy by 6; 53
Vegas Line: Navy by 7 1/2; 50
Dunkel Pick: Louisiana Tech (+7 1/2); Over

Game 339-340: Notre Dame at Michigan
Dunkel Ratings: Notre Dame 89.184; Michigan 92.252
Dunkel Line: Michigan by 3; 44
Vegas Line: Notre Dame by 3; 48 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Michigan (+3); Under

Game 341-342: Idaho at Washington
Dunkel Ratings: Idaho 59.324; Washington 84.706
Dunkel Line: Washington by 25 1/2; 54
Vegas Line: Washington by 20 1/2; 52
Dunkel Pick: Washington (-20 1/2); Over

Game 343-344: SMU at UAB
Dunkel Ratings: SMU 67.049; UAB 80.013
Dunkel Line: UAB by 13; 54
Vegas Line: UAB by 11 1/2; 58
Dunkel Pick: UAB (-11 1/2); Under

Game 345-346: Pittsburgh at Buffalo
Dunkel Ratings: Pittsburgh 97.391; Buffalo 82.018
Dunkel Line: Pittsburgh by 15 1/2; 46
Vegas Line: Pittsburgh by 10; 50
Dunkel Pick: Pittsburgh (-10); Under

Game 347-348: TCU at Virginia
Dunkel Ratings: TCU 102.012; Virginia 93.079
Dunkel Line: TCU by 9; 45
Vegas Line: TCU by 11; 42
Dunkel Pick: Virginia (+11); Over

Game 349-350: Kent State at Boston College
Dunkel Ratings: Kent State 71.665; Boston College 96.849
Dunkel Line: Boston College by 25; 51
Vegas Line: Boston College by 20 1/2; 46 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Boston College (-20 1/2); Over

Game 351-352: Rice at Texas Tech
Dunkel Ratings: Rice 73.596; Texas Tech 108.139
Dunkel Line: Texas Tech by 34 1/2; 69
Vegas Line: Texas Tech by 27; 66
Dunkel Pick: Texas Tech (-27); Over

Game 353-354: Air Force at Minnesota
Dunkel Ratings: Air Force 93.079; Minnesota 89.004
Dunkel Line: Air Force by 4; 43
Vegas Line: Minnesota by 3 1/2; 47 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Air Force (+3 1/2); Under

Game 355-356: Hawaii at Washington State
Dunkel Ratings: Hawaii 72.910; Washington State 72.776
Dunkel Line: Even; 52
Vegas Line: Hawaii by 2 1/2; 50
Dunkel Pick: Washington State (+2 1/2); Over

Game 357-358: Western Michigan at Indiana
Dunkel Ratings: Western Michigan 79.018; Indiana 77.688
Dunkel Line: Western Michigan by 1 1/2; 44
Vegas Line: Indiana by 1 1/2; 51 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Western Michigan (+1 1/2); Under

Game 359-360: Bowling Green at Missouri
Dunkel Ratings: Bowling Green 86.833; Missouri 103.003
Dunkel Line: Missouri by 16; 53
Vegas Line: Missouri by 19; 59 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Bowling Green (+19); Under

Game 361-362: Kansas at UTEP
Dunkel Ratings: Kansas 97.391; UTEP 81.153
Dunkel Line: Kansas by 16; 58
Vegas Line: Kansas by 11 1/2; 62 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Kansas (-11 1/2); Under

Game 363-364: Central Florida at Southern Mississippi
Dunkel Ratings: Central Florida 74.767; Southern Mississippi 90.187
Dunkel Line: Southern Mississippi by 15 1/2; 55
Vegas Line: Southern Mississippi by 14 1/2; 52
Dunkel Pick: Southern Mississippi (-14 1/2); Over

Game 365-366: Houston at Oklahoma State
Dunkel Ratings: Houston 88.915; Oklahoma State 108.533
Dunkel Line: Oklahoma State by 19 1/2; 65
Vegas Line: Oklahoma State by 15; 67
Dunkel Pick: Oklahoma State (-15); Under

Game 367-368: Miami (OH) at Boise State
Dunkel Ratings: Miami (OH) 68.126; Boise State 106.200
Dunkel Line: Boise State by 38; 47
Vegas Line: Boise State by 36 1/2; 52 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Boise State (-36 1/2); Under

Game 369-370: Vanderbilt at LSU
Dunkel Ratings: Vanderbilt 86.314; LSU 103.545
Dunkel Line: LSU by 17; 45
Vegas Line: LSU by 14; 46 1/2
Dunkel Pick: LSU (-14); Under

Game 371-372: Tulsa at New Mexico
Dunkel Ratings: Tulsa 95.121; New Mexico 77.066
Dunkel Line: Tulsa by 18; 53
Vegas Line: Tulsa by 17 1/2; 57 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Tulsa (-17 1/2); Under

Game 373-374: USC at Ohio State
Dunkel Ratings: USC 117.521; Ohio State 112.776
Dunkel Line: USC by 4 1/2; 50
Vegas Line: USC by 7; 47
Dunkel Pick: Ohio State (+7); Over

Game 375-376: Utah at San Jose State
Dunkel Ratings: Utah 100.276; San Jose State 82.443
Dunkel Line: Utah by 18; 53
Vegas Line: Utah by 13 1/2; 47
Dunkel Pick: Utah (-13 1/2); Over

Game 377-378: Oregon State at UNLV
Dunkel Ratings: Oregon State 90.725; UNLV 87.420
Dunkel Line: Oregon State by 3 1/2; 56
Vegas Line: Oregon State by 7; 54
Dunkel Pick: UNLV (+7); Over

Game 379-380: Arkansas State at Nebraska
Dunkel Ratings: Arkansas State 77.223; Nebraska 103.888
Dunkel Line: Nebraska by 26 1/2; 53
Vegas Line: Nebraska by 23; 56 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Nebraska (-23); Under

Game 381-382: Florida International at Alabama
Dunkel Ratings: Florida International 75.443; Alabama 108.296
Dunkel Line: Alabama by 33; 52
Vegas Line: Alabama by 34; 48
Dunkel Pick: Florida International (+34); Over

Game 383-384: South Florida at Western Kentucky
Dunkel Ratings: South Florida 92.833; Western Kentucky 65.344
Dunkel Line: South Florida by 27 1/2; 44
Vegas Line: South Florida by 24; 48
Dunkel Pick: South Florida (-24); Under

Game 385-386: Troy at Florida
Dunkel Ratings: Troy 79.236; Florida 120.500
Dunkel Line: Florida by 41 1/2; 64
Vegas Line: Florida by 36; 59 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Florida (-36); Over

Game 387-388: Ohio at North Texas
Dunkel Ratings: Ohio 73.457; North Texas 71.667
Dunkel Line: Ohio by 2; 46
Vegas Line: Ohio by 3; 52 1/2
Dunkel Pick: North Texas (+3); Under

Game 389-390: Memphis at Middle Tennessee St.
Dunkel Ratings: Memphis 78.204; Middle Tennessee St. 76.659
Dunkel Line: Memphis by 1 1/2; 50
Vegas Line: Middle Tennessee State by 1; 52 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Memphis (+1); Under

Game 391-392: Kansas State at UL Lafayette
Dunkel Ratings: Kansas State 83.760; UL Lafayette 78.123
Dunkel Line: Kansas State by 5 1/2; 59
Vegas Line: Kansas State by 8; 64 1/2
Dunkel Pick: UL Lafayette (+8); Under

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Marc Lawrence's Playbook 9/10--9/14
NCAA Best Bets...

5* Air Force (+) over Minnesota by 11
4* UAB over SMU by 21
3* Auburn over Miss. St. by 24
Upset GOW (lost last week) Central Mich. over Mich St by 1

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Pointwise Red Sheet 9/10--9/14

AUBURN 41 - Mississippi State 13 - (7:00 EDT) -- Line opened at Auburn minus 15, and is now minus 14½.
That's right, the Tigers also graced this spot on LW's Red Sheet, with a solid 11-pt cover the
result. Check a resounding 37-13 rout, while amassing 556 yds (311-yd edge) vs a LaTech
team which returned 16 starters from its '08 bowl-winning squad. That's a far cry from a
year ago, when Auburn ranked 104th in the nation on offense. New HC Chizik, along with a
bevy of quality assistants has turned this normal power around. As we've written before: a
team on a mission. 'Dogs hardly the team to curb this momentum.
RATING: AUBURN 89

SO MISSISSIPPI 44 - Central Florida 17 - (7:00) -- Line opened at SoMiss minus 14, and is now minus 15.
Looks like the same old story for UCF, despite returning 10 offensive starters. Ranked as
the worst offensive team in the nation in '08, the Knights managed only 14 FDs & 282 total
yds last week, in barely getting by Samford, 28-24, at home, no less. Eagles also return a
batch of "O" starters (9), & nearly match that with 8 veterans on "O". Led Alcorn, 35-0 at the
half last week, & held a 398-62 RY edge at game's end. Six straight wins, five straight
covers, & check 41:56-18:04 time edge over Knights LY. Highly doable spread.
RATING: SOUTHERN MISSISSIPPI 89

TEXAS TECH 55 - Rice 14 - (7:00) -- Line opened at TexasTech minus 25, and is now minus 27. Not the
best of openers for the Raiders, who would normally take no prisoners vs the likes of No
Dakota. But a 405-PY effort from new QB Potts is an indication that this latest Leach edition
has the potential to keep recent explosive efforts in tact. Owls were spectacular in '08,
ranking 10th in the land in scoring & total "O". But the departure of record-setting QB Clement
(44 TDs) puts too much pressure on newcomers. Cannot offset lacking "D".
RATING: TEXAS TECH 88

TENNESSEE 34 - Ucla 13 - (4:00) -- Line opened at Tennessee minus 10, and is now minus 8. As you know,
the Vols sat in this exact same position a week ago, & came through with a 63-7 romper over
lowly WesternKy (26-pt cover). Much like the Auburn Tigers above, who are in off a rare
down campaign, UT is under new leadership, with a renewed dedication. So scores to
settle, beginning with Bruins, who won in OT last year, so absolutely no peek ahead to new
week's game with Florida. Host team is 30-13 ATS in Bruin contests. Ditto.
RATING: TENNESSEE 88

East Carolina 26 - WEST VIRGINIA 20 - (3:30) -- Line opened at WestVirginia minus 7, and is now minus
6½. Here we go again. The Pirates have enjoyed superb success vs the Mounties in recent
years, smothering WVa's highly potent overland game, in the process. As we wrote earlier,
just 127, 153, & 179 RYs for Mounties in 3 of last 4 vs ECU (18, 3½, 28½ pt Pirate covers).
WVa is now without the blazing White at QB, & has yet to top 35 pts under Stewart, who
replaced Rodriguez LY. Call yet another series upset for the Pirates.
RATING: EAST CAROLINA 88

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Power Sweep
4* UNLV 27-24
3*South Miss. 37-16
3*Missouri 45-17
2*Tulsa 42-20
2*Iowa 34-20
2* Lousiana Tech (+) 23-26
Underdog Play San Jose +13 Outright 24-23

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Pointwise Newsletter

College Football Key Releases (2-4, 33%, "1" rated selections 0-2 last week)
1--Auburn (-14') over Mississippi State 38-13
1--South Carolina (+7) over Georgia 17-15
2--TCU (-10') over Virginia 30-10
2--S. Mississippi (-15') over UCF 41-17
3--Vanderbilt (+15) over LSU 24-30
4--East Carolina (+5') over West Virginia 26-20
5--USC (-6') over Ohio State 31-17
5--Clemson (+5') over Georgia Tech (THURSDAY) 20-19

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

CKO

11 *IOWA STATE over Iowa
Late Score Forecast:
*IOWA STATE 23 - Iowa 16

10 VANDERBILT over *Lsu
Late Score Forecast:
VANDERBILT 20 - *Lsu 23

10 CENTRAL MICHIGAN over
*Michigan St.
Late Score Forecast:
CENT. MICHIGAN 24 - *Michigan St. 28

10 *PENN STATE over Syracuse
Late Score Forecast:
*PENN STATE 45 - Syracuse 3

NINE-RATED GAMES: TENNESSEE (-7½) vs. Ucla—Only UCLA’s respected pointspread record as a dog (22-7 L5Ys) is keeping this
payback game from being rated higher...SOUTHERN MISS (-16) vs. Ucf—Golden Eagles on roll offensively & defensively since
beginning of last November; UCF doesn’t have the firepower to keep up...NEBRASKA (-23½) vs. Arkansas State—Husker starters
played little more than a half in dominating 49-3 victory last week over Florida Atlantic; Ark. State 1-6 vs. the line on the road

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Scott Ferrall

NCAAF FREE PICKS FOR SATURDAY
PICKS ARE IN ALL CAPS

Ohio

NORTH TEXAS +3


KANSAS STATE -7 ½

Louisiana –Lafayette


KANSAS -11

UTEP


DUKE +2 ½

Army


IOWA -6 ½

Iowa State

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Joe Wiz pay after service early NCAAF pay after service

Iowa

NCAAF: 1-5 (-4.50 u)

 

[tommyjohn44]

Norm Hitzges (10-6 last week, 28-20 on the season including preseason)

Double Plays
Texas -32
UAB -12.5
Boise -37

Single Plays
East Carolina +6.5
Cent Michigan +14.5
Northwestern -20
Auburn -14
South Carolina +7
TCU -11
La Tech +7.5
Air Force +3
Missouri -19.5
Southern Miss -14.5
Tulsa - 17.5
UNLV +7

 

[STACKSONDECK]

dover picks


vandy +14 3 units

duke + 2.5 1 unit

air force + 4.5 i unit



ytd 1-1-1 - 2 units

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

LT Profits

USC -6.5 / 3 units.

UCONN +4 / 5 units GOW.

Air Force +3 / 2 units.

 

[WINNERS_ONLY]

RIGHT ANGLE SPORTS
WEEK 2

#326 WF -3... 1 Unit

390 MTSU -1 .. 1 Unit

392 UL Laff UNDER 58'... 2 Units

380 Neb UNDER 55 .. 1 Unit

346 Buff UNDER 48' .. 1 Unit

350 BC UNDER 46' .. 1 Unit

347 VA OVER 40' ... 1 Unit

355 Wash. St. OVER 51' .. 1 Unit

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Ben Burns Blowout GAME OF THE WEEK!

I'm laying the points with PENN STATE. *9* Blowout GOW

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Teddy Covers

CFB East Carolina +6.5 (307)
CFB 20* Big Ticket: Auburn -14 (320)
CFB Louisiana Tech +7.5 (337)
CFB Air Force +3 (353)
CFB Southern Miss -14.5 (364)
CFB North Texas +2.5 (388)

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Pointwise Phone Service

4* Auburn, Air Force

3* East Carolina, North Texas, South Carolina,vandy,
Central Michigan, Southern Miss

2* Stanford, Unlv, South Florida

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Colin Cowherd

Sizzlin 7 - Week 2

1) Top Play : Tenn Vols -9'
2) NFL Dog of Week : Miami Dolphins +4'
3) Dallas Cowboys -6
4) NY Jets +4'
5) GB Packers -3'
6) Notrh Carolina -4
7) USC Trojans -6'/7

Week 1 : 2 - 5